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=3D"font-size:11.0pt;">Ain=E2=80=99t logic fu This is a multipart message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_002E_01D00193.5E5A2250 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="UTF-8" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable (Memories of Chris Pielou!) =20 =20 Our tendency to avoid Type I errors is good, but we need to do a better = job on the other side. How many of us have come to know something, = based on observations, but don=E2=80=99t have the stats. to prove what = we know? =20 =20 We ignore anecdotal evidence (Wrong word?) at our peril. We = shouldn=E2=80=99t be obliged to accept anecdotal implications with = certainly, but need to at least take the questions they raise seriously. =20 (But you=E2=80=99ve heard my rants on this before, haven=E2=80=99t you = Dave? J!) =20 From: naturens-owner@chebucto.ns.ca = [mailto:naturens-owner@chebucto.ns.ca] On Behalf Of David Patriquin Sent: November-16-14 11:29 AM To: naturens@chebucto.ns.ca Subject: Re: [NatureNS] Purported SW NS Eastern Cougar Photo =20 Otherwise known as a Type II error or a false negative! _____ =20 From: John and Nhung <nhungjohn@eastlink.ca> To: naturens@chebucto.ns.ca=20 Sent: Sunday, November 16, 2014 10:53 AM Subject: RE: [NatureNS] Purported SW NS Eastern Cougar Photo =20 I have probably said this before, but when Donald Rumseld said = =E2=80=9CThe absence of evidence is not evidence of absence,=E2=80=9D he = as logically spot on. =E2=80=9CNo evidence=E2=80=9D proves exactly = nothing, and I wish more people would see that! =20 (Hence the absence of proof of the existence of the Eastern Cougar in NS = does not disprove their existence!) =20 Ain=E2=80=99t logic fun? =20 =20 From: naturens-owner@chebucto.ns.ca = [mailto:naturens-owner@chebucto.ns.ca] On Behalf Of Paul Ruggles Sent: November-16-14 10:28 AM To: naturens@chebucto.ns.ca Subject: Re: [NatureNS] Purported SW NS Eastern Cougar Photo =20 I know there is a lot of disbelief about cougars in NS, but My wife and = I saw one while driving up to Cape Breton in the late 1960's. I was = quite familiar with these critters from several sightings on Vancouver = Island while conducting salmon research. Paul. On 2014-11-16, at 10:10 AM, Shouty McShoutsalot wrote: =20 https://plus.google.com/105279604431231931414/posts/2htv7BRj6Aj =20 =20 =20 =20 I no nothing of the provenance of this yet so no warranty to it's = validity etc. Purportedly near Weymouth NS, certainly the background = and time of day could be SW Nova. =20 Still messing with Google+ but this is is shared publicly so hopefully = no acct/login necessary. Let me know how it works. If I can track down = anything further I'll post. =20 --=20 Jamie Simpson Hantsport, NS =20 =20 ------=_NextPart_000_002E_01D00193.5E5A2250 Content-Type: text/html; charset="UTF-8" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable <html xmlns:v=3D"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:vml" = xmlns:o=3D"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" = xmlns:w=3D"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:word" = xmlns:m=3D"http://schemas.microsoft.com/office/2004/12/omml" = xmlns=3D"http://www.w3.org/TR/REC-html40"><head><meta = http-equiv=3DContent-Type content=3D"text/html; charset=3Dutf-8"><meta = name=3DGenerator content=3D"Microsoft Word 14 (filtered medium)"><!--[if = !mso]><style>v\:* {behavior:url(#default#VML);} o\:* {behavior:url(#default#VML);} w\:* {behavior:url(#default#VML);} .shape {behavior:url(#default#VML);} </style><![endif]--><style><!-- /* Font Definitions */ @font-face {font-family:Helvetica; panose-1:2 11 6 4 2 2 2 2 2 4;} @font-face {font-family:Wingdings; panose-1:5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0;} @font-face {font-family:Wingdings; panose-1:5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0;} @font-face {font-family:Calibri; panose-1:2 15 5 2 2 2 4 3 2 4;} @font-face {font-family:Tahoma; panose-1:2 11 6 4 3 5 4 4 2 4;} /* Style Definitions */ p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal {margin:0cm; margin-bottom:.0001pt; font-size:12.0pt; font-family:"Times New Roman","serif";} a:link, span.MsoHyperlink {mso-style-priority:99; color:blue; text-decoration:underline;} a:visited, span.MsoHyperlinkFollowed {mso-style-priority:99; color:purple; text-decoration:underline;} p.MsoAcetate, li.MsoAcetate, div.MsoAcetate {mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-link:"Balloon Text Char"; margin:0cm; margin-bottom:.0001pt; font-size:8.0pt; font-family:"Tahoma","sans-serif";} p.yiv1363340841msonormal, li.yiv1363340841msonormal, = div.yiv1363340841msonormal {mso-style-name:yiv1363340841msonormal; mso-margin-top-alt:auto; margin-right:0cm; mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto; margin-left:0cm; font-size:12.0pt; font-family:"Times New Roman","serif";} p.yiv1363340841msochpdefault, li.yiv1363340841msochpdefault, = div.yiv1363340841msochpdefault {mso-style-name:yiv1363340841msochpdefault; mso-margin-top-alt:auto; margin-right:0cm; mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto; margin-left:0cm; font-size:12.0pt; font-family:"Times New Roman","serif";} span.yiv1363340841msohyperlink {mso-style-name:yiv1363340841msohyperlink;} span.yiv1363340841msohyperlinkfollowed {mso-style-name:yiv1363340841msohyperlinkfollowed;} span.yiv1363340841emailstyle17 {mso-style-name:yiv1363340841emailstyle17;} p.yiv1363340841msonormal1, li.yiv1363340841msonormal1, = div.yiv1363340841msonormal1 {mso-style-name:yiv1363340841msonormal1; margin:0cm; margin-bottom:.0001pt; font-size:12.0pt; font-family:"Times New Roman","serif";} span.yiv1363340841msohyperlink1 {mso-style-name:yiv1363340841msohyperlink1; color:blue; text-decoration:underline;} span.yiv1363340841msohyperlinkfollowed1 {mso-style-name:yiv1363340841msohyperlinkfollowed1; color:purple; text-decoration:underline;} span.yiv1363340841emailstyle171 {mso-style-name:yiv1363340841emailstyle171; color:#1F497D;} p.yiv1363340841msochpdefault1, li.yiv1363340841msochpdefault1, = div.yiv1363340841msochpdefault1 {mso-style-name:yiv1363340841msochpdefault1; mso-margin-top-alt:auto; margin-right:0cm; mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto; margin-left:0cm; font-size:10.0pt; font-family:"Times New Roman","serif";} span.BalloonTextChar {mso-style-name:"Balloon Text Char"; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-link:"Balloon Text"; font-family:"Tahoma","sans-serif";} span.EmailStyle29 {mso-style-type:personal-reply; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; color:#1F497D;} .MsoChpDefault {mso-style-type:export-only; font-size:10.0pt;} @page WordSection1 {size:612.0pt 792.0pt; margin:72.0pt 72.0pt 72.0pt 72.0pt;} div.WordSection1 {page:WordSection1;} --></style><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> <o:shapedefaults v:ext=3D"edit" spidmax=3D"1026" /> </xml><![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> <o:shapelayout v:ext=3D"edit"> <o:idmap v:ext=3D"edit" data=3D"1" /> </o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body lang=3DEN-CA link=3Dblue = vlink=3Dpurple><div class=3DWordSection1><p class=3DMsoNormal><span = style=3D'font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color: