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=3D"font-size:11.0pt;">Ain=E2=80=99t logic fu
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(Memories of Chris Pielou!) =20
=20
Our tendency to avoid Type I errors is good, but we need to do a better =
job on the other side. How many of us have come to know something, =
based on observations, but don=E2=80=99t have the stats. to prove what =
we know? =20
=20
We ignore anecdotal evidence (Wrong word?) at our peril. We =
shouldn=E2=80=99t be obliged to accept anecdotal implications with =
certainly, but need to at least take the questions they raise seriously.
=20
(But you=E2=80=99ve heard my rants on this before, haven=E2=80=99t you =
Dave? J!)
=20
From: naturens-owner@chebucto.ns.ca =
[mailto:naturens-owner@chebucto.ns.ca] On Behalf Of David Patriquin
Sent: November-16-14 11:29 AM
To: naturens@chebucto.ns.ca
Subject: Re: [NatureNS] Purported SW NS Eastern Cougar Photo
=20
Otherwise known as a Type II error or a false negative!
_____ =20
From: John and Nhung <nhungjohn@eastlink.ca>
To: naturens@chebucto.ns.ca=20
Sent: Sunday, November 16, 2014 10:53 AM
Subject: RE: [NatureNS] Purported SW NS Eastern Cougar Photo
=20
I have probably said this before, but when Donald Rumseld said =
=E2=80=9CThe absence of evidence is not evidence of absence,=E2=80=9D he =
as logically spot on. =E2=80=9CNo evidence=E2=80=9D proves exactly =
nothing, and I wish more people would see that!
=20
(Hence the absence of proof of the existence of the Eastern Cougar in NS =
does not disprove their existence!)
=20
Ain=E2=80=99t logic fun?
=20
=20
From: naturens-owner@chebucto.ns.ca =
[mailto:naturens-owner@chebucto.ns.ca] On Behalf Of Paul Ruggles
Sent: November-16-14 10:28 AM
To: naturens@chebucto.ns.ca
Subject: Re: [NatureNS] Purported SW NS Eastern Cougar Photo
=20
I know there is a lot of disbelief about cougars in NS, but My wife and =
I saw one while driving up to Cape Breton in the late 1960's. I was =
quite familiar with these critters from several sightings on Vancouver =
Island while conducting salmon research.
Paul.
On 2014-11-16, at 10:10 AM, Shouty McShoutsalot wrote:
=20
https://plus.google.com/105279604431231931414/posts/2htv7BRj6Aj
=20
=20
=20
=20
I no nothing of the provenance of this yet so no warranty to it's =
validity etc. Purportedly near Weymouth NS, certainly the background =
and time of day could be SW Nova.
=20
Still messing with Google+ but this is is shared publicly so hopefully =
no acct/login necessary. Let me know how it works. If I can track down =
anything further I'll post.
=20
--=20
Jamie Simpson
Hantsport, NS
=20
=20
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