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could there be 100 0r 1000 's 0r3000that i have not
encountered , yes your right i am not ever gong to encounter those crazy
numbers.
if you want to come down and drive around the three county,s next summer
ill show you all three county's
and 98 per cent of the belted kingfishers.
i can see how numbers get out of hand. here is a story of one christmas
coun i was on a number of years ago, a landy kept track of her feeders for 8
hours that day
she had 126 black cap chicadees at her feeder.
i thought this was a lot of chicadees at the place so i ckecked it out
sure enought she had 2 chickadees and they made that day 63 trips to her
feeder and she thought she had 126
she was a very nice eldery lady with a kind heart.
and all 126 were added to the christmas
count list.
lol
----- Original Message -----
From: "David & Alison Webster" <dwebster@glinx.com>
To: <naturens@chebucto.ns.ca>
Sent: Wednesday, January 02, 2008 9:46 PM
Subject: Re: [NatureNS] belted kingfisher story
> Hi Murray & All, Jan 2, 2008
> I agree one must be wary of accepting any measure of a wild population
> as a fact and +- figures convey no information if the variance measure
> (e.g. standard deviation, standard error, 95% confidence limits) is not
> specified.
>
> But-- the two estimates, obtained apparently by somewhat different
> methods, of 16,000 KF (-4.67 % trend over 40 years) as compared to 4,100
> pairs (no change over 4 centuries) are remarkably similar. Note also that
> no change over 400 years does not conflict with a modest decline over 40
> years. This of course does not demonstrate that either of these estimates
> is close to being realistic.
>
> But with respect to your 50 pairs in three counties, have you really
> bushwacked every potential lake edge, pond, run and stillwater in these
> three counties ? If not then could there be 100, or 1000 or 3000 pairs
> that you have not encountered ?
>
> A belated Happy New Year, Dave Webster, Kentville
>
> dowitcher wrote:
>
>> reading all the stuff on the thousands of belted
>>
>> kingfishers in nova scotia,i find it very hard to believe the stats.
>>
>> a matter of fack i dont.
>>
>> i done a lot of birding in yarmouth ,digby and shelburne counties over
>> the years and i know where 99 .9 per cent
>>
>> of them are each year.
>>
>> we at down and counted them up today and could not come up with 50 pair
>> for the three counties total.
>>
>> now if you was to believe those stats i read about
>>
>> they must be hanging like grapes every where else.
>>
>> brrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr
>>
>> Murray R Newell
>> Cape Sable Island
>> Nova Scotia
>>
>
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